1. Vegas Nfl Player Props
2. Nfl Prop Bet Predictions

Week 16 is one game away from going in the books. The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will play the final game of Week 16 on Monday night at Bills Stadium. This game is a role reversal of sorts. Usually it’s the Patriots that are looking to do housekeeping late in the season in preparation for a deep playoff run. The Patriots have been a fixture at the top of the AFC East, but the tide has changed. The Bills have already clinched the AFC East, which represents the first time since 1995 that they’ve won the division. It goes without question that this is the best era of Bills’ football since Jim Kelly was the starting quarterback.

Week 1 NFL Prop Bets to Target. Julio Jones OVER 90 Receiving Yards (-118) It may have taken two months for Jones to score his first touchdown of the 2018 season, but during that drought, he still. All NFL football games must go at least 55 minutes of play for prop bets on the game to have 'action' unless they are limited to individual quarters or halves. Football overtime periods count as part of the.

With the Josh Allen era just heating up in Buffalo, the Bills are going to be a contender for the foreseeable future. The Dolphins, not the Patriots, could be their biggest threat in the division over the next few years. Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins’ defense likely isn’t going anywhere. And as far as the Patriots are concerned, it’s going to be interesting to see what Bill Belichick does in the offseason. Who is going to be their starting quarterback next year?

Cam Newton doesn’t deserve a big contract extension, that much is for certain. Having said that, the majority of the Patriots’ offense is talentless. I like Damien Harris in the backfield, and Julian Edelman still gives his all despite playing banged up this season, but Edelman is aging fast and should be more of a complementary piece at this point in an offense. Jakobi Meyers would be nice in a complementary role as well for the Patriots. N’Keal Harry was supposed to be the impact player, but he has failed to develop.

In summary, the Patriots don’t have an impact player, and their offense is essentially based around Cam finding yards on his legs. Even in their 45-point explosion against the Chargers a few weeks ago, it was the defense frustrating Justin Herbert that led to all of those points. Since then, the Patriots have scored just 15 points against the Rams and Dolphins. I don’t know how much interest the Patriots have tonight, but a rivalry game against a divisional foe might get them going. Head below for our free Bills vs. Patriots props for December 28, 2020.

It's been a long time coming…

Your Buffalo Bills are AFC East Champions. pic.twitter.com/YTaAZqzEXk

Vegas Nfl Player Props

— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 20, 2020

Cam Newton Passing Yards

The Bills used to depend all on their defense to win games. That was pretty well the only thing they had going for them. However, the arrival of Stefon Diggs has turned the Bills into more of an offensive force. They are winning games more often with their offense rather than winning low-scoring 17-10 type games.

However, give the defense credit for a 26-15 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers two weeks ago. They have still come up big in spots, but do give up yardage. The Bills have been a run of the mill secondary in 2020. They’ve conceded an average of 234.7 passing yards per, which is a mid-tier unit compared to the rest of the league.

I’m confident that the Bills will be able to score against the Patriots. The Pats’ defense is lightyears ahead of the offense at this point, but containing Allen and Diggs will prove to be a difficult task at the fanless Gillette Stadium. Cam is coming off an okay day against the Dolphins, as he passed for 207 yards with no touchdowns and interceptions. In the Patriots’ first meeting against the Bills, Cam threw for 174 yards with no touchdowns and interceptions.

He fumbled the game away on a late drive that changed the course of the Patriots’ season drastically. They were driving until he fumbled deep in Bills’ territory late in the fourth. The Bills recovered and secured a 24-21 win. I’m going to give Cam the benefit of the doubt and bet on him having at least a respectable performance at home in primetime. His passing prop is low for a reason because of the Patriots’ offense, but I’m going to take the bait and say he records around 200 yards again this week.

Zack Moss Rushing Yards

Zack Moss has been seeing more time in the backfield as his productivity has increased. The rookie out of Utah has gained 416 yards and 3 touchdowns on 4.3 yards per carry. As a first-year running back, the main goal is to see progress from the beginning of the year to the end. I think the Bills are getting that with Bills. He received double-digit carries in back-to-back games for the first time this season recently. Moss ran for 43 yards on 13 carries against the Patriots, and then most recently, he gained 81 yards on 13 attempts for 6.2 yards per carry.

Moss has ran for at least 43 yards in three out of his last four outings. The Patriots have been solid against the pass, which has been their only strength, but susceptible on the ground. They’ve allowed only 212.4 passing yards per game, though 133 rushing yards is too much and ranks near the back. Only five teams are worse than the Pats on the ground defensively. I can see Moss getting into the 50’s here, so a play on the OVER at 42.5 looks good.

Dawson Knox Receptions

The strength of the Patriots has been their secondary. Despite a down season in Foxborough, JC Jackson and the secondary have shown up to play consistently. However, they took a blow after Stephon Gilmore injured his knee last week and was placed on the IR. That will do it for Gilmore in 2020. The biggest riser in 2020 for the Pats has been Jackson.

He didn’t make the Pro Bowl, but probably deserved to be on the list as an all-star. Big challenge for Jackson tonight against Stefon Diggs, but I think he can play well to an extent against one of the best receivers in the NFL. If JC thinks he’s a pro bowler, then he’ll be motivated in this one.

With Diggs getting a lot of attention lately, tight end Dawson Knox has been seeing plenty of targets the last three weeks. Knox has been targeted 15 times the last three weeks. He had 2 receptions for 36 yards and a touchdown versus the Broncos a week ago.

If the Bills weren’t blowout the Broncos out, he likely gets a couple more receptions. Prior to that outing, Knox had 4 receptions for 27 yards against the 49ers, and 4 receptions for 34 yards against the Steelers. I don’t foresee the Bills running away with a win on the road. The Patriots likely have some pride left in them. Knox likely sees one more reception than last week.

Week 13 of the NFL season continues with two interconference games on Monday night, as the Washington Football Team faces the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Buffalo Bills travel out West to face the San Francisco 49ers. All four teams are immersed in the thick of the playoff race, so it should certainly be a double dose of must-see TV.

In this article, I’ll identify the best value in the player prop betting market from these two games, choosing one play from each of the four teams. The odds in this article are brought to you by William Hill – New Jersey residents can use the promo code – TS500 – for a 100% deposit bonus up to $500.

Table of contents

Alex Smith (Washington Football Team) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, 5:00 pm EST Watch: FOX
Heinz Field – Pittsburgh, PA

Under 218.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Steelers flash the NFL’s #1 pass defense in DVOA and yards allowed per pass attempt. Not to mention, WFT’s offensive line is not that great at all. Earlier this season, a similarly strong LA Rams defense absolutely abused them. Now, we have to imagine what Pittsburgh will do to this part of Washington’s team.

After passing for 300+ yards in two straight games, Smith has totaled just 315 of them over the last two games. This will clearly be the toughest defense he has faced this season.

Nfl Prop Bet Predictions

Chase Claypool (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Washington Football Team

Monday, 5:00 pm EST Watch: FOX
Heinz Field – Pittsburgh, PA

Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

WFT’s defense gets the third-highest defensive aDOT (average depth of target) this season at 9.1 yards. While Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger only has an aDOT of 7.1 yards, he’ll likely have to take some deep shots in this matchup. That brings us to Claypool, which ranks first on the team in aDOT at 12.6 yards.

Claypool has exceeded this 50.5-yard mark in each of his last four games, and even has at least eight targets in each of the last five games.

Stefon Diggs (Buffalo Bills) at San Francisco 49ers

Monday, 8:15 pm EST Watch: ESPN
Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, CA

Over 6.5 Receptions (+105)

It’s crazy that we’re getting plus-odds on this bet, albeit barely, so let’s take advantage of it. The 6.5-number is one Diggs has exceeded in three straight games, and his lowest total of the season was four; that happened once, and Diggs has at least six catches in every other game.

Diggs was held to a season-low 39 yards last week against the Chargers, a tough matchup for opposing WRs. Those 39 yards still came on a high volume of looks- seven catches on nine targets. Because of the lack of yards last week, I would expect Bills QB Josh Allen would look to find his No. 1 target in a number of creative ways tonight.

49ers CB Richard Sherman doesn’t necessarily move around on defense, staying put on one side of the field. That’ll allow the Bills to put Diggs in a variety of different areas of the field to help us capitalize on this bet.

Jordan Reed (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Buffalo Bills

Monday, 8:15 pm EST Watch: ESPN
Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, CA

Anytime TD Scorer (+275)

The Bills have been quite vulnerable to the TE position this season, allowing five different players to get at least five receptions and seven targets in a game. In fact, four of those five exceeded 60 yards.

With all of that being said, I feel like the path of most likely success is finding the end zone. This should be more of a different style that San Fran plays tonight, in that they’ll need to pick up the pace if they fall behind the Bills- like I think they well. The running game could be beneficial to the 49ers early on, so that will set up some nice play-action opportunities for him and hopefully, have it occur in the end zone.